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Meeting the UK aviation target

On 8 December 2009, the independent Committee on Climate Change (CCC) published a report into the impact of the aviation industry on the environment.

The report contends that aviation policy should be based on the assumption that demand growth between now and 2050 cannot exceed 60% if the UK is to meet the government’s target that aviation emissions in 2050 must not exceed 2005 levels.

It concludes that fuel efficiency and operational improvements are likely to result in a 30% reduction in carbon emissions per seat km flown and that sustainable biofuels could account for 10% of aviation fuel use in 2050. The report suggests that faster technological improvements are possible, but unless and until they are achieved it is not prudent to assume that demand increases of more than 60% are compatible with the set target.

Fuel efficiency improvements will arise from engine and airframe design innovation, and improved efficiency of air traffic movements and operations. Increased investment in aircraft technology, research and development might also prompt more rapid progress.

Meeting the UK aviation target – options for reducing emissions to 2050